陳茂波﹕本財年財赤預測激增至2000億元

每年政府盈餘/(赤字)年終財政儲備

財政司司長陳茂波2024年12月2日出席立法會財經事務委員會上指出,預料本財政年度赤字(已經計算發債多得的958億元)約1,000億元,多於原先估計的481億元,如果不計算發債所得,赤字更加是接近2000億元,是20/21年後最夠水平。

陳茂波表示在經濟環境較差時,需要更大力度支持市民和企業,難免會出現赤字,但絕對有信心政府財政在未來三﹑數年後恢復收支平衡。

收入支出盈餘/(赤字)發行/(償還)政府債券對外公佈盈餘/(赤字)年終財政儲備
2024-25
(最新預算)
超過-2000超過-10006347
2024-25
(原來預算)
6,3307,769-1,438958-4816,865
2023-245,4947,213-1,719717-1,0027,346
2022-236,2218,105-1,883660-1,2238,348
2021-226,9366,93322912949,571
2020-215,6428,161-2,518193-2,3259,278
2010 – 20
平均
5,0244,381643-3640
2019-205,9096,078-16963-10611,603
2018-195,9985,318679067911,709
2017-186,1984,7091,49001,49011,029
2016-175,7314,6211,11101,1119,540
2015-164,5004,35614401448,429
2014-154,7873,962825-977288,285
2013-144,5534,33521802187,557
2012-134,4223,77364806487,339
2011-124,3773,64073707376,691
2010-113,7653,01475107515,954
2000 – 10
平均
2,5522,497551772
2009-103,1842,890294-352595,203
2008-093,1663,12442-27154,944
2007-083,5852,3481,23701,2374,929
2006-072,8802,269612-265863,693
2005-062,4702,33114001403,107
2004-052,3822,422-402542142,960
2003-042,0732,475-4010-4012,753
2002-031,7752,392-6170-6173,114
2001-021,7562,389-6330-6333,725
2000-012,2512,329-780-784,303
1999-20002,3302,23010001004,443
1998-992,1612,394-2320-2324,343
1997-982,8121,94486908694,575

政府收入來源

其實赤字問題主要來自地價更兩年地價收入大減,每年只有大約200億元,比之前每年超過1000億大幅減少。

利得稅薪俸稅地價收入印花稅投資其他政府總收入
2024-25 (原來預算)1,8028763307108981,7146,330
2023-241,7057991964917501,5545,494
2022-231,7427956997009331,3526,221
2021-221,6737561,4309978041,2756,936
2020-211,3557508878905241,2355,642
2010 – 20平均1,3375509946222771,2445,024
2019-201,5595041,4176724841,2735,909
2018-191,6666011,1698004031,3585,998
2017-181,3916081,6489522141,3856,198
2016-171,3925911,2806192071,6425,731
2015-161,40257960962721,2824,500
2014-151,37859377874821,2864,787
2013-141,2095568434153701,1614,553
2012-131,2565056964293801,1564,422
2011-121,1865188464443721,0114,377
2010-119324436555103398863,765
2000 – 10平均6473402742232308372,552
2009-107664123964243368503,184
2008-091,0423901693224667773,166
2007-089143756235152798783,585
2006-077193863702512948602,880
2005-066983752951791048202,470
2004-055863403201591478302,382
2003-04488280541122598802,073
2002-03388297115751767251,775
2001-024442861038698271,756
2000-014302632951092359182,251
1999-20003772483481214198162,330
1998-994532511931023937702,161
1997-985533026252911798622,812

政府支出佔比

雖然千禧年代初期,地價收入都是得幾百億,但當時的支出金額也比較少,但近年社會福利和衛生(醫療)的支出上升得越來越快,導致開支拋離收入越來越遠,教育支出佔比已經越來越少,在人口老化問題下,這個差距不容易收窄。

教育社會福利衞生其他^經常開支
2024-25 (原來預算)18%22%19%41%5,802
2023-24 (修訂預算)19%21%19%41%5,421
2022-2318%19%24%39%5,399
2021-2220%20%20%41%4,932
2020-2121%19%19%41%4,671
2019-2021%19%19%42%4,388
2018-1921%20%18%41%4,030
2017-1822%18%17%42%3,618
2016-1722%18%17%43%3,446
2015-1622%18%17%42%3,245
2014-1522%18%18%42%3,051
2013-1422%18%18%42%2,844
2012-1323%16%18%43%2,623
2011-1223%17%17%43%2,425
2010-1123%17%16%44%2,232
2009-1023%18%16%43%2,212
2008-0923%18%16%43%2,141
2007-0823%17%16%44%1,994
2006-0724%17%16%44%1,895
2005-0624%17%16%43%1,872
2004-0523%17%16%44%1,923
2003-0424%16%16%44%1,973
2002-0324%16%16%44%1,980
2001-0224%15%16%45%1,956
2000-0124%15%17%44%1,845
1999-200025%15%17%43%1,739
1998-9925%15%18%42%1,643
1997-9825%13%17%44%1,494

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